How fast can Russia grow?
Korhonen, Iikka (16.12.2015)
Numero
10/2015Julkaisija
Suomen PankkiBank of Finland
2015
Julkaisun pysyvä osoite on
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi:bof-201512171487Tiivistelmä
In this note I gauge Russia’s future growth potential under various assumptions in a standard growth-accounting framework. Russia’s GDP growth during the next two decades will be substantially lower than during the previous 15 years, mostly because of rapid decline in labor force. In addition, much of the potential for rapid productivity growth has already been exhausted. Russia’s GDP growth will be below two per cent per annum.