Overview of Russia’s oil and gas sector
Simola, Heli; Solanko, Laura (18.05.2017)
Numero
5/2017Julkaisija
Suomen PankkiBank of Finland
2017
Julkaisun pysyvä osoite on
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi:bof-201705191301Tiivistelmä
This overview is a compilation of ten concise articles that give a general picture of the current situation and prospects of Russia’s oil and gas sector. The articles are independent and together they give a rich overview of the development of the oil and gas sector and the significance of the sector in the Russian economy. The oil sector generates more export and tax revenue for Russia, but the gas sector plays a key role, particularly from a domestic market perspective. In the next few years, Russia’s oil production and exports are expected to grow slowly at best, because a stronger increase in production would require more investment. In oil production and particularly in exports, the focus of growth has shifted eastwards, and China has become one of Russia’s most important export markets. Growth of natural gas production, on the other hand, is limited more by demand than supply factors and gas production will remain focused in the future on its present locations in Russia’s Arctic regions. Despite plans, the export market for natural gas will still be mainly in the West, due to limited transport infrastructure. Examination of both the Russian and the international oil and gas sector is complicated by statistical peculiarities.
Sisällysluettelo
1. Introduction 4
2. Oil production and exports are expected to grow slowly at best 5
3. Oil statistics are not clear-cut 9
4. Gas production follows fluctuations in demand 11
5. Gazprom’s domestic market share has fallen to less than half 14
6. Gas export routes run from east to west 17
7. Export volume of natural gas depends on the calculation method 20
8. Role of LNG in global gas market growing slowly 23
9. Russia and China key partners in oil trade – natural gas trade yet to start 25
10. Arctic region important in oil and natural gas production 28
11. Oil and gas taxes make up lion’s share of Russia’s budget revenue 30
2. Oil production and exports are expected to grow slowly at best 5
3. Oil statistics are not clear-cut 9
4. Gas production follows fluctuations in demand 11
5. Gazprom’s domestic market share has fallen to less than half 14
6. Gas export routes run from east to west 17
7. Export volume of natural gas depends on the calculation method 20
8. Role of LNG in global gas market growing slowly 23
9. Russia and China key partners in oil trade – natural gas trade yet to start 25
10. Arctic region important in oil and natural gas production 28
11. Oil and gas taxes make up lion’s share of Russia’s budget revenue 30
Julkaisuhuomautus
This article has been published in Finnish under the title "Katsaus Venäjän öljy- ja kaasusektoriin", BOFIT Policy Brief 3/2017