BOFIT Forecast for China 2016–2018 / 2
(29.09.2016)
Numero
2/2016Julkaisija
Bank of Finland
2016
Julkaisun pysyvä osoite on
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi:bof-201609301434Tiivistelmä
Growth of the Chinese economy this year has slightly exceeded our expectations, largely due to the government’s stimulus policies. We now expect GDP to grow about 6.5 % p.a. this year. However, China’s growth outlook has not changed. We project growth to slow to 6 % in 2017 and 5 % in 2018, and consider the slowdown as a natural aspect of the China’s economic development. As structural adjustments proceed, the role of consumer demand and services in the economy will become more pronounced. Concerns over economic development have increased, and the possibility of a rapid deceleration in growth during the forecast period cannot be ruled out.
Julkaisuhuomautus
Published also in Finnish by the name BOFIT Kiina-ennuste